Scientific journal NRU ITMO
Series "Economics and Environmental Management"
Registration certificate ЭЛ № ФС 77 – 55411 от 17.09.2013
registered by the Federal Inspectorate Service for Communication, Information Technologies and Communication Media
ISSN:2310-1172

June 2020 (published: 19.06.2020)

Number 2(41)

Home > Issue > Statistical analysis of the impact of environmental factors on the socio-economic development of the territory

UDC 338.1

Statistical analysis of the impact of environmental factors on the socio-economic development of the territory

Khavronichev V.I. , Tülu G.M.

The article is devoted to statistical analysis of the impact of environmental factors on the socio-economic development of Vologda region. As an effective feature the authors consider the integral rating of social and economic development, the factor feature - the consolidated environmental index. The article consistently considers scientific approaches to the concept of "sustainable development," analyses indicators of the system of assessment of the level of sustainable development, indicators of environmental factors and socio-economic development. On the basis of the data of the All-Russian Public Organization Green Patrol and the Rating Agency RIA Rating, a comparative analysis of the Vologda region and other subjects of the Russian Federation was carried out. The main tool for analysis is the statistical apparatus. The authors show the place of Vologda region among the subjects of the Russian Federation on the basis of ecological and socio-economic rating. The analysis of the dynamics of the main indicators of ecological and socio-economic development of Vologda region was carried out on the basis of basic and chain growth rates. Statistical analysis of the indicators allowed the authors to construct a mathematical model and establish a link between indicators of environmental factors and indicators of socio-economic development of the Vologda region. To confirm the accuracy and adequacy of the model, the authors applied variance analysis and regression statistics of the pair regression equation. The recommendations developed by the authors and the proposed mathematical model can be used in applied scientific research in the practice of state and municipal administration, the statistical analysis carried out will help the state and municipal authorities to take a more detailed approach to the development of programmes for the sustainable development of region.
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Keywords: region, socio-economic development, sustainable development, integrated environmental index, rating, indicator, integral rating of socio-economic development, regression and correlation analysis, mathematical model, equation of linear pair regression.

DOI 10.17586/2310-1172-2020-13-2-46-57

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