Scientific journal NRU ITMO
Series "Economics and Environmental Management"
Registration certificate ЭЛ № ФС 77 – 55411 от 17.09.2013
registered by the Federal Inspectorate Service for Communication, Information Technologies and Communication Media

June 2014 (published: 11.06.2014)

Number 2(17)

Home > Issue > Assessment of uncertainty of innovation processes

UDC 338.24

Assessment of uncertainty of innovation processes

Fedorov D.A.

Uncertainty is inseparable from the innovation processes. Appearing on different management levels of the organization and the various stages of realization of the innovation process, uncertainty and risk become a real obstacle for the successful achievement of strategic and operational goals, have a negative impact on the innovation process. In the article the basic complexes, methods and algorithms of risk management, the methods for analysis and assessment of uncertainties and risks. Describes the process of development and decision making on the management of innovative processes at industrial enterprises in the conditions of risk and uncertainty. On the basis of fuzzy logic developed and proposed a new approach to the assessment and analysis of uncertainties and risks. Describes the process of development, selection and making the most efficient management decisions, their evaluation and analysis. 
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Keywords: uncertainty, risk, estimate, analysis, probability.

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