Scientific journal NRU ITMO
Series "Economics and Environmental Management"
Registration certificate ЭЛ № ФС 77 – 55411 от 17.09.2013
registered by the Federal Inspectorate Service for Communication, Information Technologies and Communication Media
ISSN:2310-1172

2014 (published: 15.09.2014)

Number 3(18)

Home > Issue > Forecasting of development of the market of innovations sectoral economic systems in conditions of uncertainty of the environment

UDC 332.146.2

Forecasting of development of the market of innovations sectoral economic systems in conditions of uncertainty of the environment

Filatov V. V.

This article discusses the forecasting of development of the market of innovations sectoral economic systems in conditions of uncertainty of the environment. Assessment of prospects of development of the market of innovations sectoral economic system, and the emergence of new scientific developments and technology is held in many methods that allow you to solve strategic, tactical and operational objectives. For the decision of strategic tasks should primarily use a method commissions and method of «Delphi». Tactical tasks require the construction of scenarios selected set of development priorities taking into account historical experience and the ability to forecast market innovation industry economic system, therefore for the decision of these tasks are mainly used scenario-based method, the method to create historical analogies and forecasting methods associated with finding analogy. For operational tasks should primarily use the method of morphological analysis and extrapolation of trends. These methods allow you to adjust the trends of development of the market of innovations sectoral economic system taking into account the technical parameters of its development and factors of environmental influence.
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Keywords: innovation, innovative process, innovative activity, innovative economy, market innovation, branch economic system.

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